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The Dividend Mailbox®

The Dividend Mailbox®

By: Greg Denewiler
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Summary

We want to stuff your mailbox with dividends! Our goal is to show you the power of dividend growth investing, and for each year's check to be larger than the last. We analyze specific companies and look at the mindset this strategy requires to be successful long-term. Come explore this not-so-boring world and watch your portfolio's value compound.

© 2026 The Dividend Mailbox®
Economics Personal Finance
Episodes
  • It Was Never About "Dividends." It Was Always About Income.
    Apr 23 2026

    Real estate investors don't think of themselves as dividend investors. Neither do venture capitalists or business owners collecting profit distributions. But strip away the labels, and every one of them is doing the same thing: buying a stream of income and betting it grows. The wrapper is different. The logic is identical.

    To prove it, Greg walks through three real investments, all made in 2013, with the same $535 million starting point: Republic Plaza (one of Denver’s premier office towers), Sysco ($SYY), and DCM’s own Model Portfolio. In year one, the building won on income. Today, thirteen years later, it's generating the least of the three, and the building itself has lost nearly half its value. The model portfolio, which started with the lowest income, now generates the most. The difference wasn't asset class. It was whether the income grew.

    That compounding gap is what Greg calls the "second decade effect"—the point where a growing income stream laps a higher but stagnant one. It's also why income focus gives investors something price-chasing never can: control, predictability, and a reason to stay put when markets get uncomfortable.

    Topics Covered:

    [00:00] Introduction & the "income mailbox" reframe

    [01:34] Why the word "dividend" misleads investors

    [04:26] The foundation: every investment is a bet on cash flow

    [06:09] Three investments, same $535 million starting point, 2013

    [09:17] Thirteen years later: how each one performed

    [13:59] The "second decade effect" — why growing income wins over time

    [17:48] Two mindsets: growing income vs. speculating on price

    [20:11] What the NYSE closing bell taught Greg about how investors think

    [24:38] Dividends vs. buybacks: why income creates capital discipline

    [28:42] Three takeaways and final thoughts

    ________

    Dividend Growth: The Quiet Engine of Wealth

    Dividend growth investing sounds simple, but doing it well for decades is not. That’s why we wrote Dividend Growth: The Quiet Engine of Wealth—a practical guide to building a framework you can stick with when things get uncomfortable. You can get a free copy here.

    Plus, join our market newsletter for more on dividend growth investing.

    ________

    Send us Fan Mail

    ________

    Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This episode is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.

    ________

    RESOURCES:

    Schedule a meeting with us: Financial Planning & Portfolio Management

    Getting into the weeds: DCM Investment Reports & Models

    If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review

    Follow us on:
    Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

    Show More Show Less
    33 mins
  • EXPRESS MAIL: Sysco Drops ~15% after $29 Billion Bet — Dividend Growth at Risk?
    Apr 2 2026

    Sysco ($SYY) just announced the acquisition of Restaurant Depot in a $29 billion deal — and the market didn't like it. The stock fell more than $10 in a single day, briefly dipping below $70.

    Did this deal break the dividend growth story… or create a rare opportunity for long-term investors?

    Most acquisitions destroy shareholder value, but this one is more complicated. The deal expands Sysco's revenue base by roughly 20%, targets a complementary customer segment, and appears reasonably priced on a free cash flow basis. But it also introduces meaningful risks—rising debt, pressure on credit quality, and a near-term dividend growth story that looks very different from what it did a week ago.

    Greg walks through the numbers, the strategic rationale, and the trade-offs investors need to consider. More importantly, he tackles the core dilemma: how do you balance dividend growth discipline with total return potential when a high-quality business enters a gray area?


    Topics Covered:

    [00:00:41] Overview of Sysco’s $29B acquisition

    [00:02:13] Restaurant Depot’s niche and why the deal could work

    [00:05:24] Valuation breakdown: Did Sysco overpay or get a fair deal?

    [00:07:45] Debt impact, interest costs, and credit rating risks

    [00:11:11] Deleveraging plan and what it means for financial flexibility

    [00:12:18] Dividend outlook: Why growth may stall in the near term

    [00:14:24] Valuation opportunity, execution track record, and upside potential

    [00:15:26] The core dilemma: balancing dividend growth vs total return

    ________

    Dividend Growth: The Quiet Engine of Wealth

    Dividend growth investing sounds simple, but doing it well for decades is not. That’s why we wrote Dividend Growth: The Quiet Engine of Wealth—a practical guide to building a framework you can stick with when things get uncomfortable. You can get a free copy here.

    Plus, join our market newsletter for more on dividend growth investing.

    Send us Fan Mail

    ________

    Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This episode is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.

    ________

    RESOURCES:

    Schedule a meeting with us: Financial Planning & Portfolio Management

    Getting into the weeds: DCM Investment Reports & Models

    If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review

    Follow us on:
    Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

    Show More Show Less
    18 mins
  • What’s Your Anchor? Dividends in an Uncertain Market
    Mar 23 2026

    Markets feel uncertain. Headlines are driving sentiment. Oil prices are volatile, and cracks are forming in private credit, making high yield look more attractive than ever. But is that yield actually protecting you, or pulling you into risk?

    In this episode, Greg looks at three real-world examples to examine how income behaves under pressure and what that reveals about portfolio stability.

    We break down private credit and the hidden risks behind high yields and limited liquidity, evaluate Campbell’s ($CPB) and whether its elevated dividend is sustainable amid weakening fundamentals, and revisit Chevron ($CVX) as a case study in durable, growing income during oil market volatility.

    Along the way, we explore why rising yield can be a warning sign, how cash flow drives long-term returns, and what separates sustainable dividend growth from income traps.

    Because when volatility rises, the goal isn’t to predict the next move. It’s to stay anchored.

    Topics Covered

    [00:11] Introduction

    [03:31] Market Volatility & Investor Sentiment

    [04:47] Private Credit Risks & High Yield Illusion

    [11:04] Campbell’s ($CPB): High-Yield Warning Signs

    [17:17] Chevron ($CVX): Dividend Stability in Oil Volatility

    [26:38] Berkshire Hathaway: Reminder on the Importance of Cash Flow

    [29:11] The Dividend Anchor & Final Takeaways


    ________

    Dividend Growth: The Quiet Engine of Wealth

    Dividend growth investing sounds simple, but doing it well for decades is not. That’s why we wrote Dividend Growth: The Quiet Engine of Wealth—a practical guide to building a framework you can stick with when things get uncomfortable. You can get a free copy here.

    Plus, join our market newsletter for more on dividend growth investing.

    Send us Fan Mail

    ________

    Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This episode is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.

    ________

    RESOURCES:

    Schedule a meeting with us: Financial Planning & Portfolio Management

    Getting into the weeds: DCM Investment Reports & Models

    If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review

    Follow us on:
    Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

    Show More Show Less
    34 mins
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