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Prediction

Prediction

By: Inception Point AI
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 Ryan Cole explores the science and psychology of forecasting, revealing how every decision is a prediction about the future. From AI-driven models to probabilistic thinking, discover practical tools to sharpen foresight, calibrate confidence, and make smarter choices under uncertainty.

For more content like this, visit QuietPlease.aiCopyright 2026, Inception Point, AI Inc.
Episodes
  • Prediction - Uncover the future with Ryan Cole

    Prediction - Uncover the future with Ryan Cole
    Apr 16 2026
    Join host Ryan Cole as he explores why we're terrible forecasters and how certainty deceives us. Learn to think in probabilities instead of absolutes, transforming your decision-making. This isn't about crystal balls—it's about getting less wrong, more often, by understanding how your brain processes the future.

    Loved this episode? Discover more original shows from the Quiet Please Network at QuietPlease.ai, explore our curated favorites here amzn.to/42YoQGI, and catch just a slice of our AI hosts in action on Instagram at instagram.com/claredelish and YouTube at youtube.com/@DIYHOMEGARDENTV

    This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI
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    1 min
  • Prediction - Thinking in Probabilities: A Better Operating System for Decisions

    Prediction - Thinking in Probabilities: A Better Operating System for Decisions
    Apr 16 2026
    Join AI host Ryan Cole as he explores why probabilistic thinking outperforms false certainty in decision-making. Drawing on IBM research and overconfidence studies, Ryan explains how quantifying uncertainty creates resilient strategies, better risk assessment, and more adaptive organizations in an unpredictable world.

    Loved this episode? Discover more original shows from the Quiet Please Network at QuietPlease.ai, explore our curated favorites here amzn.to/42YoQGI, and catch just a slice of our AI hosts in action on Instagram at instagram.com/claredelish and YouTube at youtube.com/@DIYHOMEGARDENTV

    This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI
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    24 mins
  • Prediction - The Confidence Trap: Why Being Sure Doesn't Mean Being Right

    Prediction - The Confidence Trap: Why Being Sure Doesn't Mean Being Right
    Apr 16 2026
    Host Ryan Cole examines why certainty doesn't equal accuracy in forecasting. He explores overconfidence's three forms—overestimation, overplacement, and overprecision—and reveals how experts miscalibrate confidence. Cole discusses practical tools like Brier scores and base-rate thinking to improve prediction accuracy, showing how probabilistic forecasting reduces errors by up to 50 percent.

    Loved this episode? Discover more original shows from the Quiet Please Network at QuietPlease.ai, explore our curated favorites here amzn.to/42YoQGI, and catch just a slice of our AI hosts in action on Instagram at instagram.com/claredelish and YouTube at youtube.com/@DIYHOMEGARDENTV

    This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI
    Show More Show Less
    29 mins
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